GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/13/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Cartagena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Eldense are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 46.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CartagenaWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EldenseDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
FC CartagenaEldense
29.4Attack36.5
59.5Defence55.6
40.5Form39.7
45.4Power46.0
0.84xG0.81
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