GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/5/2025, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Cartagena are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlético Madrid II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Madrid II hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CartagenaDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético Madrid IIDWWWW

GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
FC CartagenaAtlético Madrid II
32.5Attack56.1
66.7Defence61.4
50.0Form58.8
51.9Power59.9
0.79xG1.05
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