FC Carl Zeiss Jenavs
Magdeburg II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Carl Zeiss Jena · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 Magdeburg II
Original prediction
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.4% | 63.6% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.4% | 19.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.2% | 16.9% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80