FC Carl Zeiss Jenavs
Lokomotive Leipzig
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Carl Zeiss Jena · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 Lokomotive Leipzig
Original prediction
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.7% | 58.3% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 21.3% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.7% | 20.4% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20