GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/12/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hertha BSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

FC Carl Zeiss Jena are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Hertha BSC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hertha BSC hold a 58.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the DFB Pokal, while Hertha BSC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hertha BSC

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Hertha BSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Carl Zeiss JenaDDWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hertha BSCLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC Carl Zeiss JenaHertha BSC
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form58.3
7.0Power65.4
1.59xG2.65
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