GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/5/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Carl Zeiss Jena · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Carl Zeiss Jena are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Greifswalder FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Greifswalder FC hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while FC Carl Zeiss Jena holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Carl Zeiss Jena

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

FC Carl Zeiss Jena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Carl Zeiss JenaDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Greifswalder FCWWWWL

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FC Carl Zeiss JenaGreifswalder FC
58.3Attack83.3
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form58.3
57.2Power62.4
1.70xG1.53
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