FC Carl Zeiss Jenavs
Altglienicke
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 9/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Carl Zeiss Jena · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Altglienicke
Original prediction
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.8% | 41.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.3% | 25.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.9% | 33.4% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40