FC Cajamarcavs
UTC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cajamarca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cajamarca 1-3 UTC Cajamarca
Original prediction
FC Cajamarca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.5% | 48.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.3% | 24.2% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.2% | 27.8% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Cajamarca
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
FC Cajamarca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80