FC Cajamarcavs
UCV Moquegua
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cajamarca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cajamarca 0-1 UCV Moquegua
Original prediction
FC Cajamarca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.7% | 54.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 23.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.5% | 21.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Cajamarca
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
FC Cajamarca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80