FC Cajamarcavs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 5/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Cajamarca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Primera División, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20