GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Cajamarca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Garcilaso

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CajamarcaDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo GarcilasoDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilaso
47.6Attack41.3
42.9Defence68.3
33.3Form55.6
43.3Power57.0
0.93xG1.35
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