FC Cajamarcavs
Cusco
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cusco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cajamarca 1-2 Cusco
Original prediction
Cusco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.6% | 33.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.0% | 22.5% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.4% | 44.2% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Cusco
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Cusco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC CajamarcaWLWLL
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
CuscoLWWLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC CajamarcaCusco
51.3Attack48.7
35.9Defence52.6
34.6Form53.8
42.9Power52.5
1.51xG1.77