GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/31/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

FC Cajamarca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

64.9%

Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CajamarcaDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza LimaWWDWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima
47.6Attack60.3
42.9Defence79.4
33.3Form76.2
43.3Power71.9
0.72xG2.06
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