FC BW Linzvs
WSPG Wels
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 9/12/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC BW Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC BW Linz 4-1 WSPG Wels
Original prediction
FC BW Linz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.9% | 61.8% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.77 | 19.2% | 20.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 6.60 | 13.9% | 17.3% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
FC BW Linz
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
FC BW Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60