FC BW Linzvs
Wacker Innsbruck
COMPLETEDAustria · Cup · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC BW Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC BW Linz 2-3 Wacker Innsbruck
Original prediction
FC BW Linz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.9% | 44.6% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.5% | 24.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.6% | 30.7% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
FC BW Linz
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
FC BW Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00