GGOALVIO

FC BW Linz logoFC BW LinzvsTSV Hartberg logoTSV Hartberg

COMPLETED

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC BW Linz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while TSV Hartberg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC BW Linz hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Bundesliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC BW LinzLWLWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TSV HartbergDWLLD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC BW LinzTSV Hartberg
34.4Attack0.0
50.0Defence50.0
33.3Form0.0
41.2Power21.5
1.12xG1.10
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