FC BW Linzvs
FC Liefering
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/17/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC BW Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC BW Linz 4-1 FC Liefering
Original prediction
FC BW Linz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.7% | 72.1% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.00 | 18.3% | 15.1% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 5.69 | 16.1% | 12.8% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–08%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC BW Linz
Probability
72.1%
Model confidence
72.1%
FC BW Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20