FC Botosanivs
Uta Arad
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 10/10/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Botosani · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Botosani 2-0 Uta Arad
Original prediction
FC Botosani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 39.1% | 46.9% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.4% | 25.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.6% | 27.9% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Botosani
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
FC Botosani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20