FC Botosanivs
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Botosani 0-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Botosani 5-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.5% | 35.3% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.9% | 33.1% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.6% | 31.7% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
FC Botosani 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80