FC Botosanivs
Petrolul Ploiesti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 10/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Botosani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Botosani 0-0 Petrolul Ploiesti, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Botosani 1-3 Petrolul Ploiesti
Original prediction
FC Botosani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.8% | 42.1% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.9% | 27.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.3% | 30.2% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Projected Score
FC Botosani 0–0 Petrolul Ploiesti
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FC Botosani
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
FC Botosani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40