FC Bocholtvs
Sportfreunde Siegen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Bocholt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bocholt 1-3 Sportfreunde Siegen
Original prediction
FC Bocholt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.6% | 48.6% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 22.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.5% | 28.9% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Bocholt
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
FC Bocholt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20