FC Bocholtvs
Sportfreunde Lotte
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Bocholt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bocholt 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte
Original prediction
FC Bocholt
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.5% | 73.7% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.2% | 14.3% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 4.92 | 18.3% | 12.0% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Bocholt
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
FC Bocholt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20