FC Bocholtvs
FC Gutersloh
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gutersloh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bocholt 3-4 FC Gutersloh
Original prediction
FC Gutersloh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.7% | 24.1% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.5% | 21.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.8% | 54.7% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
FC Gutersloh
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
FC Gutersloh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40