FC Bocholtvs
Bonner SC
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Bocholt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bocholt 2-2 Bonner SC
Original prediction
FC Bocholt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.6% | 51.7% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.7% | 22.1% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.7% | 26.2% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Bocholt
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
FC Bocholt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00