GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Basel 1893 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while VfB Stuttgart are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and VfB Stuttgart hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while VfB Stuttgart holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfB Stuttgart

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Basel 1893LLDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VfB StuttgartWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC Basel 1893VfB Stuttgart
37.5Attack55.6
45.8Defence58.3
25.0Form50.0
37.8Power54.3
1.01xG1.71
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