GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plzen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Basel 1893 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Plzen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plzen hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Plzen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plzen

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Basel 1893WLDLW

GF 15 · GA 16 · avg 3.00/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
PlzenDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC Basel 1893Plzen
37.5Attack47.9
45.8Defence64.6
25.0Form58.3
37.8Power59.0
0.85xG1.50
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