GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FCSB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Basel 1893 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FCSB are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FCSB

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Basel 1893DWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FCSBWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC Basel 1893FCSB
37.5Attack40.5
45.8Defence57.1
25.0Form57.1
37.8Power53.1
1.04xG1.25
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