GGOALVIO

FC Basel 1893 logoFC Basel 1893vsFC Winterthur logoFC Winterthur

COMPLETED

Switzerland · Super League · 7/30/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Basel 1893 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Basel 1893 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Winterthur are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Basel 1893 hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Super League, while FC Basel 1893 holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Basel 1893

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

FC Basel 1893 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Basel 1893LLWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC WinterthurDWWWW

GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
55.6Attack52.6
66.7Defence37.7
66.7Form43.0
64.7Power46.7
2.25xG1.27
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