FC Basel 1893vs
FC ST. Gallen
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/20/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Basel 1893 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Basel 1893 1-3 FC ST. Gallen
Original prediction
FC Basel 1893
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 36.6% | 55.3% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 24.0% | 19.0% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 39.4% | 25.7% | -13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
FC Basel 1893
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
FC Basel 1893 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60