FC Basel 1893vs
FC Sion
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Basel 1893 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Basel 1893 1-2 FC Sion
Original prediction
FC Basel 1893
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.3% | 44.5% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.7% | 23.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 39.1% | 31.6% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Basel 1893
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
FC Basel 1893 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 12 · avg 3.40/2.40
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60