GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aston Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

FC Basel 1893 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aston Villa are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Basel 1893WWDLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Aston VillaWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC Basel 1893Aston Villa
37.5Attack68.9
45.8Defence82.2
25.0Form86.7
37.8Power79.6
0.61xG2.27
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