FC Bacauvs
Universitatea Craiova
COMPLETEDRomania · Cupa României · 9/3/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bacau 1-2 Universitatea Craiova
Original prediction
Universitatea Craiova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.22 | 12.6% | 37.8% | 25.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.7% | 23.9% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 67.7% | 38.3% | -29.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00