Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slatina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bacau 0-0 Slatina
Original prediction
Slatina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.4% | 33.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.8% | 27.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.7% | 38.6% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Slatina
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Slatina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC BacauDWWWL
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
SlatinaWLWWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC BacauSlatina
83.3Attack83.3
58.3Defence83.3
58.3Form100.0
65.2Power89.2
1.31xG1.53