FC Bacauvs
Gloria Bistriţa
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Bacau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bacau 3-0 Gloria Bistriţa
Original prediction
FC Bacau
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.6% | 47.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 27.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.5% | 25.4% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Bacau
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
FC Bacau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40