FC Bacauvs
Dumbrăviţa
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Bacau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bacau 6-1 Dumbrăviţa
Original prediction
FC Bacau
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.6% | 50.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.4% | 26.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 21.1% | 22.5% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
FC Bacau
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
FC Bacau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC BacauLDDWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DumbrăviţaLDDLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC BacauDumbrăviţa
66.7Attack26.7
66.7Defence60.0
53.3Form20.0
61.3Power38.7
1.69xG0.74