FC Bacauvs
Cetatea Suceava
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Bacau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Bacau 2-2 Cetatea Suceava
Original prediction
FC Bacau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.3% | 50.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 25.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.6% | 24.6% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Bacau
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
FC Bacau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20