FC Augsburgvs
Hertha Berlin
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hertha Berlin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Augsburg 2-2 Hertha Berlin
Original prediction
Hertha Berlin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.0% | 33.1% | -14.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.0% | 24.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.0% | 42.7% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Hertha Berlin
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Hertha Berlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40