FC Augsburgvs
FC Schalke 04
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 8/30/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04
Original prediction
FC Augsburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 42.5% | 37.1% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.9% | 27.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 30.6% | 35.8% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Augsburg
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
FC Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 11 · avg 4.40/2.20
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80