FC Astoria Walldorfvs
SV Sandhausen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 9/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Sandhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Astoria Walldorf 1-2 SV Sandhausen
Original prediction
SV Sandhausen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 31.9% | 35.8% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.9% | 27.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.3% | 37.3% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
SV Sandhausen
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
SV Sandhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00