FC Astoria Walldorfvs
Hessen Kassel
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astoria Walldorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Astoria Walldorf 4-1 Hessen Kassel
Original prediction
FC Astoria Walldorf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.5% | 37.5% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 27.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.8% | 35.5% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Astoria Walldorf
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
FC Astoria Walldorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20