FC Astoria Walldorfvs
FSV Mainz 05 II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astoria Walldorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Astoria Walldorf 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 II
Original prediction
FC Astoria Walldorf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.3% | 45.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 26.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.3% | 27.6% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Astoria Walldorf
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
FC Astoria Walldorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20