Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FC Astana are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Zhetysu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00