FC Astanavs
Yelimay Semey
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Astana 4-0 Yelimay Semey
Original prediction
FC Astana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.4% | 49.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.1% | 26.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.24 | 21.5% | 24.3% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20