GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/4/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FC Astana are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Astana

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AstanaWDD

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Shakhter KaragandyWDLLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC AstanaShakhter Karagandy
55.0Attack40.0
65.0Defence53.3
63.3Form37.3
61.9Power45.5
1.74xG0.73
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