FC Astanavs
Ludogorets
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/8/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Astana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60