GGOALVIO

FC Astana logoFC AstanavsDinamo Tbilisi logoDinamo Tbilisi

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Astana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dinamo Tbilisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the UEFA Champions League, while Dinamo Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tbilisi

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AstanaLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo TbilisiWLLWD

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC AstanaDinamo Tbilisi
25.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
33.3Form16.7
34.1Power36.5
1.33xG1.44
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