Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC Astana are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atyrau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40