Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Astana are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Aktobe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00