GGOALVIO

South-Korea · FA Cup · 3/29/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Busan I Park · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Anyang are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Busan I Park are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Busan I Park hold a 44.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the FA Cup, while Busan I Park holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Busan I Park

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Busan I Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AnyangWDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
Busan I ParkWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
FC AnyangBusan I Park
33.3Attack83.3
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power59.3
1.55xG2.13
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