GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/18/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Andorra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Cartagena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cartagena hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AndorraWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC CartagenaLWLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC AndorraFC Cartagena
26.2Attack29.4
57.9Defence59.5
34.1Form40.5
42.0Power45.4
0.67xG0.68
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